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🇪🇺 European Union • The EU is preparing safeguards for the accession of new countries, fearing “Trojan horses.”
The European Union is considering placing its future members on probation, with the possibility of temporary exclusion in the event of anti-democratic drift. This idea, put forward by Enlargement Commissioner Marta Kos, follows concerns that new member states could follow the path of Hungary, which has stood out for its reluctance to impose sanctions on Russia and its authoritarian shift, despite budgetary pressure from Brussels.
Driven by the urgency created by Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the European Commission is reviving the long-stalled enlargement process with the aim of integrating the Western Balkans, Ukraine, and Moldova. However, many member states are privately expressing caution about the integration of these countries, fearing that they may deviate from democratic standards and judicial independence, or even move closer to Moscow once they become members.
Among the measures being considered are stronger safeguard mechanisms and internal sanctions, as well as stricter rules to prevent democratic backsliding. Future accession treaties would impose an irreversible commitment to respect the rule of law, monitored from the negotiation phase and potentially accompanied by sanctions in the event of non-compliance.
Brussels wants to gradually integrate candidate countries into certain European programs before their full accession. While Hungary is currently blocking the opening of accession chapters with Ukraine, the possibility of separating the applications of Ukraine and Moldova is being discussed in order to accelerate reforms in each country. Marta Kos insists on the need for profound transformations before any accession and warns against slowing down the process: “We have managed to stop Russia at the door, but if momentum is lost, it could find another way in.” The Financial Times
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IN SHORT
🇵🇸 Palestine • Approximately 81% of buildings in the Gaza Strip have been damaged or destroyed since the start of the war, according to the UN Satellite Center. Half of the material damage is concentrated in the Khan Yunis and Gaza areas. Since the end of 2023, nearly 380,000 people have been forced to flee their homes, mainly to the south of the enclave. The Israeli offensive continues, despite a ceasefire in place since October 10.
🇹🇷 Turkey • Meeting yesterday in Istanbul, seven Muslim countries affirmed that Gaza should be governed solely by Palestinians and rejected any external control. The Turkish foreign minister called for inter-Palestinian reconciliation, while President Erdogan criticized Israel and called for increased humanitarian aid and reconstruction of the territory.
🇸🇩 Sudan • Satellite images have revealed the extent of the massacres in El Fasher, the capital of North Darfur, between October 26 and 28. At least 31 groups of bodies were identified, as well as burn marks, mass graves, and pools of blood. The absence of population movements in the city, which is occupied by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), raises fears that the majority of civilians have been killed, captured, or hidden. An investigation by the International Criminal Court has been launched.
🇲🇽 Mexico • President Claudia Sheinbaum today ruled out any US military intervention on Mexican soil, responding to reports that Donald Trump intends to send troops to fight the cartels. At a press conference, she stated that “this will not happen,” reiterating the Mexican government's opposition to any foreign military interference.
🇨🇦 Canada • Prime Minister Mark Carney is preparing a budget marked by a sharp increase in debt in an attempt to revive the economy and reduce dependence on the United States. The plan calls for increased military spending, infrastructure investments, accelerated housing construction, and a reduction in the size of the civil service. The deficit could reach C$70-100 billion this year, or more than 3% of GDP.
🇺🇦 Ukraine • The European Union has welcomed Ukraine's commitment to accession despite the war, while stressing the need to step up the fight against corruption. The Commission's draft report on Kiev's accession notes ongoing reforms but calls on Ukraine to make progress on judicial independence, the fight against organized crime, and respect for civil society. The accession process remains hampered by some member states.
🇷🇺 Russia - 🇺🇦 Ukraine • Russian troops conquered 461 km² in October (steady progress, without any real breakthrough), extending their advance in the Donetsk region where Pokrovsk, a logistics hub for the Ukrainian army, could soon fall. The noose is also tightening around Myrnograd. Russia now controls 19.2% of Ukrainian territory, including 81% of the Donetsk region and almost all of Luhansk. Ukrainian logistics lines are under pressure.
🇵🇱 Poland • Warsaw decided to build a national anti-drone wall, which is expected to be operational by the end of 2027, after several Russian incursions into its airspace. The system will include the detection, tracking, and neutralization of drones, helicopters, and cruise missiles. Nearly €50 million will be committed from 2026, mainly to Polish companies, via European loans. This strategy is a priority for the Polish armed forces, which are on the front line against Russia.
🇷🇺 Russia - 🇪🇪 Estonia • A Russian border guard boat flying the Wagner flag was spotted this weekend at the Estonian border. The incident, captured on CCTV, was commented on by the Estonian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, which ironically noted the presence of the paramilitary group.
🇩🇿 Algeria • This week, the French parliament passed a resolution questioning the 1968 agreement on Algerian immigration, and the UN Security Council approved Morocco's plan for Western Sahara, without a Russian or Chinese veto.
🇺🇸 United States • Dick Cheney, former vice president under George W. Bush between 2001 and 2009, has died at the age of 84. A major figure in the “war on terror,” he encouraged the invasion of Iraq, leading to the fall of Saddam Hussein. In 2024, Cheney supported Kamala Harris against Donald Trump. His death was due to complications from pneumonia and heart disease.
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