Chaos surrounding Trump's plan for Ukraine

Diplomatic discussions on ending the conflict in Ukraine have been marred by a proliferation of competing initiatives, revealing deep disagreements and a palpable cacophony among the main players. While Russia and the United States have quietly negotiated a 28-point peace plan favorable to Moscow, the Europeans and Ukraine have been kept at arm's length. The European Union is now attempting to formulate an alternative that is more in line with Ukrainian interests, while the political climate in Washington remains uncertain, caught between pressure from Donald Trump and his administration's stated desire to involve Kiev in the process.

Moscow, taking advantage of these divisions, is presenting itself as a calm arbiter. This position maximizes the Kremlin's potential gains: either Kiev accepts a plan favorable to Russia, or its refusal highlights Moscow as the frustrated promoter of a peace that the West is struggling to support in a unified manner. Russian officials are quick to point out the “counterproductive” role of European initiatives, reinforcing the image of a Western front divided on the Ukrainian issue.

The internal context in Ukraine also weighs heavily in Russian and American calculations. President Zelensky, weakened by corruption investigations, may seem more likely to yield to international pressure, even if some of the guarantees offered to Ukraine in the US-Russian plan remain unacceptable to Moscow. For the Kremlin, it is also a question of anticipating the possible return of a tougher transatlantic position, with US sanctions against Russia back on the table.

As the discussion drags on, military operations continue on the ground, and the outcome of the diplomatic dialogue seems more uncertain than ever. France 24

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